Friday, January 27, 2006

Rational?

The Kennedy/Kerry filibuster is the tactical best play for the Dems. It will appease the liberal base - the Dem senators "fought." It will give several Dem Red State senators the opportunity to split their votes: no to Alito but also no to filibuster. And it will certainly fail, so will not bring on the nuke option, thus preserving the filibuster to fight another day.

This false filibuster also increases the probability of Chaffee voting against Alito...

1 comment:

Charles Iragui said...

Chaffee has indeed split his vote... Collins? Snowe?

So far Alito looks like 54 Reps and 4 Dems: he can't break 60.

Take a look at the 19 Dems who voted for cloture. What a list of worried Red Staters.

I am curious about both Hawaii Senators voting to end cloture. Is this one more sign that the state is shifting conservative? Growing up there 20 years ago, this would have been unimaginable.